Tag Archives: Global warming bunkum

And the paradigm keeps crumbling

al-gore-settled-scienceHigher temperatures in Pacific attributable to natural wind shifts, not global warming.

A new study released Monday found that warming temperatures in Pacific Ocean waters off the coast of North America over the past century closely followed natural changes in the wind, not increases in greenhouse gases related to global warming.

The study compared ocean surface temperatures from 1900 to 2012 to surface air pressure, a stand-in for wind measurements, and found a close match.

“What we found was the somewhat surprising degree to which the winds can explain all the wiggles in the temperature curve,” said lead author Jim Johnstone, who did the work while a climatologist at the Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean at the University of Washington.

“So clearly, there are other factors stronger than the greenhouse forcing that is affecting those temperatures,” he added.

The study released by the online edition of the peer-reviewed journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences does not question global warming, but argues there is evidence that in at least one place, local winds are a more important factor explaining ocean warming than greenhouse gases.

It was greeted with skepticism by several mainstream climate scientists, who questioned how the authors could claim changes in wind direction and velocity were natural and unrelated to climate change.

Johnstone and co-author Nathan Mantua, a research scientist with the NOAA Fisheries Service in Santa Cruz, California, pointed to the fact that one steep ocean warming period from 1920 to 1940 predates the big increases in greenhouse gases, and an ocean cooling period from 1998 to 2013 came while global average temperatures were at or near all-time highs.

They also noted that the wind changes consistently preceded the ocean surface temperature variations by about four months, showing the wind was causing the changes to temperature, not the other way around.

James Overland, a research oceanographer at the NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, said the study reinforced findings that the North Pacific has a lot of natural variability in 5- to 20-year time scales, and he reached the same conclusions on changes in the Bering Sea.

“Natural variability cannot be ruled out as an important mechanism,” he said in an email.

During the entire period from 1900 to 2012, there has been an increase of about 1 degree Fahrenheit in ocean surface temperatures in the area from Hawaii to Alaska, and down the coast to British Columbia, Washington, Oregon and California, according to the study.

The wind acts to change temperature through speed and direction. When the wind blows faster across the water, evaporation increases, and like sweat drying on the skin, cools the water surface. Winds from the south drive warmer air and water to the region. Winds from the north drive in colder air and water.

“It just seems to us it’s a pretty simple story,” Mantua said. “Yet it’s going to take people by surprise, because it is ingrained in our minds that if the climate warms up in the course of the century, it’s probably because of global warming, the increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases and other things humans have done that have pushed it in a warming direction.”

All of which explains the global warmists’ increasing hysteria. They sense the consensus the concocted is falling apart, and they are afraid.

Psst! Wanna buy a magazine?

Psst! Wanna buy a magazine?

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As the “settled science” crumbles

Remember this?

Remember this?

WSJ: Whatever happened to global warming?

On Sept. 23 the United Nations will host a party for world leaders in New York to pledge urgent action against climate change. Yet leaders from China, India and Germany have already announced that they won’t attend the summit and others are likely to follow, leaving President Obama looking a bit lonely. Could it be that they no longer regard it as an urgent threat that some time later in this century the air may get a bit warmer?

In effect, this is all that’s left of the global-warming emergency the U.N. declared in its first report on the subject in 1990. The U.N. no longer claims that there will be dangerous or rapid climate change in the next two decades. Last September, between the second and final draft of its fifth assessment report, the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change quietly downgraded the warming it expected in the 30 years following 1995, to about 0.5 degrees Celsius from 0.7 (or, in Fahrenheit, to about 0.9 degrees, from 1.3).

Even that is likely to be too high. The climate-research establishment has finally admitted openly what skeptic scientists have been saying for nearly a decade: Global warming has stopped since shortly before this century began.

First the climate-research establishment denied that a pause existed, noting that if there was a pause, it would invalidate their theories. Now they say there is a pause (or “hiatus”), but that it doesn’t after all invalidate their theories.

Alas, their explanations have made their predicament worse by implying that man-made climate change is so slow and tentative that it can be easily overwhelmed by natural variation in temperature—a possibility that they had previously all but ruled out.

When the climate scientist and geologist Bob Carter of James Cook University in Australia wrote an article in 2006 saying that there had been no global warming since 1998 according to the most widely used measure of average global air temperatures, there was an outcry. A year later, when David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation in London made the same point, the environmentalist and journalist Mark Lynas said in the New Statesman that Mr. Whitehouse was “wrong, completely wrong,” and was “deliberately, or otherwise, misleading the public.”

We know now that it was Mr. Lynas who was wrong. Two years before Mr. Whitehouse’s article, climate scientists were already admitting in emails among themselves that there had been no warming since the late 1990s. “The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998,” wrote Phil Jones of the University of East Anglia in Britain in 2005. He went on: “Okay it has but it is only seven years of data and it isn’t statistically significant.”

If the pause lasted 15 years, they conceded, then it would be so significant that it would invalidate the climate-change models upon which policy was being built.

Well, the pause has now lasted for 16, 19 or 26 years—depending on whether you choose the surface temperature record or one of two satellite records of the lower atmosphere. That’s according to a new statistical calculation by Ross McKitrick, a professor of economics at the University of Guelph in Canada.

And so on. None of this is news to the skeptics and atheists, but to fully-committed members of the Church of Mother Gaia, the loss of their bedrock will be as shattering as sunrise the day after the predicted end of the world. Those with the most to lose from the collapse of the paradigm: “green” businesses, and social progressives, will become the new deniers, but eventually the sheeple will grow immune to their heat mongering and when that happens, the media will also lose interest and return to covering the Kardashians. Less media hype, less fear, less interest, less media hype: it will be a downward spiral into indifference.

Of course, since the goal of the two groups behind this bullshit was never saving the earth but control of the people on it and profiting from that control, the progressives will drum up a new scare story and their business partners will move swiftly to refocus their products (I’m guessing snowblowers to fight the coming ice age, but it could be anything). It would nice if the sheeple remembered this entire trumped-up scam before deciding to go along with the next one, but why should human nature and gullibility change now?

We can at least hope for a brief hiatus between the final end of this hoax and the world-wide acceptance of the next one.

 

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And the bunkum continues

 

The science is settled, Barry: we're liars, and the public's too damn dumb to catch us at it. Sooee!

The science is settled, Barry: we’re liars, and the public’s too damn dumb to catch us at it. Sooee!

After falsely claiming that July, 2012 was the hottest month since the beginning of the world (well, 1895, actually – records don’t go beyond that,but neither does the collective memory of the global warmists – NOAA has now conceded that in fact July, 1936 was hotter. This data manipulation has ben going on since NOAA joined in the global warming scam, and the lying is not limited to our government’s “objective scientists”. In fact, the hottest decade since 1895 was the 30s, and the earth has been cooling since then. But that would be an inconvenient truth for the bunkum artists.

“Goddard shows how, in recent years, NOAA’s US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) has been ‘adjusting’ its record by replacing real temperatures with data ‘fabricated’ by computer models,” writes Christopher Booker for the Telegraph.

“The effect of this has been to downgrade earlier temperatures and to exaggerate those from recent decades, to give the impression that the Earth has been warming up much more than is justified by the actual data,” Booker writes. “In several posts headed ‘Data tampering at USHCN/GISS,’ Goddard compares the currently published temperature graphs with those based only on temperatures measured at the time.”

“These show that the US has actually been cooling since the Thirties, the hottest decade on record; whereas the latest graph, nearly half of it based on ‘fabricated’ data, shows it to have been warming at a rate equivalent to more than 3 degrees centigrade per century,” Booker adds.

When asked about climate data adjustments by the DCNF back in April, NOAA send there have been “several scientific developments since 1989 and 1999 that have improved the understanding of the U.S. surface temperature record.”

Our current government is attempting to shut down the First World’s economy, transfer wealth in the trillions to the poor of the earth and condemn Americans and western Europeans to a return of the peasant existence of their ancestors, and justifies this reversion to the middle ages by cooking up phony data. So far, a slight majority of Americans has bought into the plan – that’s changing, and exposure of fraudulent science like this will hasten the process; or I hope so – the idea of living in a cave gnawing on sticks and dirt repels me.

UPDATE: Oops! Another disruption of the “settled science”: Gigantic ocean vortexes may force changes to climate models. When the authorities cut off debate, especially scientific debate, it’s a safe bet that they’re up to something.

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Tell us something new

Prehistoric Swiss villagers display their catch

Prehistoric Swiss villagers display their catch

Study concludes that things were warmer in Roman, medieval times.

If you think the Earth is hot now, try wearing plate armor in the Middle Ages.

A Swedish study found that the planet was warmer in [the Roman era] and the Middle Ages than today, challenging the mainstream idea that man-made greenhouse gas emissions are the main drivers of global warming.

The study, by scientist Leif Kullman, analyzed 455 “radiocarbon-dated mega-fossils” in the Scandes mountains and found that tree lines for different species of trees were higher during the Roman and Medieval times than they are today. Not only that, but the temperatures were higher as well.

All other things being equal, adding more greenhouse gases to the atmosphere will have a warming effect on the planet,” Judith Curry, a climatologist at the Georgia Institute of Technology, told the Los Angeles Times. “However, all things are never equal, and what we are seeing is natural climate variability dominating over human impact.

At least as far back as 2005 (and actually, far earlier) scientists were discovering entire prehistoric villages in the Swiss Alps as glaciers retreated: The Alps had far less ice from 5,000 – 850 BC., then froze up again until Roman Times and stayed open through the medieval period. 

None of this is news to the scientific community; all of it is ignored and suppressed, however. The science is settled, alright: the earth’s temperature fluctuates over time, independent of human activity.

 

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Are sea levels really rising?

Dennis Savageau's vision for 521 Round Hill Road

Dennis Savageau’s vision for 521 Round Hill Road

Not around here; not much. Mike Finkbeiner recently was hired by NYC to compare the 1811 sea level to now. His conclusion? High tide then was 4′ over mean low, 4.73 feet higher now.

In 1811 the Commissioner’s of the City of New York laid out the street grid system, and established an extensive series of elevation monuments at corner intersections, based on high tide of the era at zero.   EarthImage was asked to calibrate that system in relation to the modern determination of tidal level and land elevations.   Our conclusion was that the City Elevation Zero of 1811, now known as Manhattan Borough Datum, is 4.03 ft over modern mean lower low tide (the average daily low from 1978 to 2001.)  As the daily high today is 4.73 ft higher than that, one can speculate that tides have risen 0.70 feet (8.4 inches) since 1811.

What’s going on (I say, not Finkbeiner) is that the gummint is changing the methodology to achieve its political goals. Here in Greenwich, Diane Fox, Katie Blankley Deluca (whose father is now on our BET) and Denise Savageu, the triad responsible for forcing residents from their homes, are only too willing to go along with that process.

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The science is unsettled

What happened to the hurricane season? It was a complete bust, despite dire predictions from the “experts”.

Over here on the rationalist side we’ve always thought that weather was weather and questions about long term warming were an entirely different matter. But in the Church of Gaia, every weather phenomenon is global warming – related, if it’s bad, and unrelated if it’s good. So when Al Gore, among other profiteers, states that global warming is directly responsible for the severity and frequency of hurricanes, it’s fair to point out this season’s lack of storms as a direct contradiction, indeed disproof of what he and his media friends claim are settled truths.

Same thing for tornadoes, which the media promised would be horrendous this year because of global warming,then completely dropped the subject when the tornadoes disappeared.

Storms and hurricanes will be back and when they are, Al Gore and company will be too.

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Al Gore lives his beliefs

Don't your DARE do this to me!

Don’t your DARE do this to me!

You’d think that as the world’s expert on global warming the man would cheer on those who want to shut down the world’s economy and stop further production of CO2, so it is at first blush confusing that he’s so angry about it instead. Here he is just a few days ago:

“Why does partisanship have anything to do with such a despicable and dishonorable threat to the integrity of the United States of America?  It cannot be allowed. But it can only be stopped if people in both parties independents as well say, ‘look, I might not agree with everything that’s in the Affordable Care Act, but it did pass, it was upheld by the Supreme Court, it is the law of the land. You didn’t succeed in the constitutional process by which this was considered, and now you want to threaten to not only shut down our government, but blow up the world economy?….How dare you! How dare you!”

But no, his anger is really just proof that he truly believes what he’s been saying since 2006, when he promised that the world would cross an irreversible barrier in 2016 if we didn’t stop our wicked ways. Irreversible means it can’t be undone, and now, eight years on from his science is settled pronouncement, it’s obvious that nothing has been done or can be done in the next 24 months to avoid terminal catastrophe. It’s over, baby.

So no wonder the guy’s pissed: he wants to spend the declining days of the earth in the luxury to which he’s become accustomed to since discovering the profitability of Cassandraism, and anything that threatens his 110′ houseboats, his private jets and his 15,000 sq.ft. mansions on both coasts is really, really inconvenient. Shut down the world’s economy just as he’s clawed, kicked and bitten his way to the top? As he says, “how dare you!”

The man’s put his mouth where his money is, and you have to admire a politician like that.

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