As the “settled science” crumbles

Remember this?

Remember this?

WSJ: Whatever happened to global warming?

On Sept. 23 the United Nations will host a party for world leaders in New York to pledge urgent action against climate change. Yet leaders from China, India and Germany have already announced that they won’t attend the summit and others are likely to follow, leaving President Obama looking a bit lonely. Could it be that they no longer regard it as an urgent threat that some time later in this century the air may get a bit warmer?

In effect, this is all that’s left of the global-warming emergency the U.N. declared in its first report on the subject in 1990. The U.N. no longer claims that there will be dangerous or rapid climate change in the next two decades. Last September, between the second and final draft of its fifth assessment report, the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change quietly downgraded the warming it expected in the 30 years following 1995, to about 0.5 degrees Celsius from 0.7 (or, in Fahrenheit, to about 0.9 degrees, from 1.3).

Even that is likely to be too high. The climate-research establishment has finally admitted openly what skeptic scientists have been saying for nearly a decade: Global warming has stopped since shortly before this century began.

First the climate-research establishment denied that a pause existed, noting that if there was a pause, it would invalidate their theories. Now they say there is a pause (or “hiatus”), but that it doesn’t after all invalidate their theories.

Alas, their explanations have made their predicament worse by implying that man-made climate change is so slow and tentative that it can be easily overwhelmed by natural variation in temperature—a possibility that they had previously all but ruled out.

When the climate scientist and geologist Bob Carter of James Cook University in Australia wrote an article in 2006 saying that there had been no global warming since 1998 according to the most widely used measure of average global air temperatures, there was an outcry. A year later, when David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation in London made the same point, the environmentalist and journalist Mark Lynas said in the New Statesman that Mr. Whitehouse was “wrong, completely wrong,” and was “deliberately, or otherwise, misleading the public.”

We know now that it was Mr. Lynas who was wrong. Two years before Mr. Whitehouse’s article, climate scientists were already admitting in emails among themselves that there had been no warming since the late 1990s. “The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998,” wrote Phil Jones of the University of East Anglia in Britain in 2005. He went on: “Okay it has but it is only seven years of data and it isn’t statistically significant.”

If the pause lasted 15 years, they conceded, then it would be so significant that it would invalidate the climate-change models upon which policy was being built.

Well, the pause has now lasted for 16, 19 or 26 years—depending on whether you choose the surface temperature record or one of two satellite records of the lower atmosphere. That’s according to a new statistical calculation by Ross McKitrick, a professor of economics at the University of Guelph in Canada.

And so on. None of this is news to the skeptics and atheists, but to fully-committed members of the Church of Mother Gaia, the loss of their bedrock will be as shattering as sunrise the day after the predicted end of the world. Those with the most to lose from the collapse of the paradigm: “green” businesses, and social progressives, will become the new deniers, but eventually the sheeple will grow immune to their heat mongering and when that happens, the media will also lose interest and return to covering the Kardashians. Less media hype, less fear, less interest, less media hype: it will be a downward spiral into indifference.

Of course, since the goal of the two groups behind this bullshit was never saving the earth but control of the people on it and profiting from that control, the progressives will drum up a new scare story and their business partners will move swiftly to refocus their products (I’m guessing snowblowers to fight the coming ice age, but it could be anything). It would nice if the sheeple remembered this entire trumped-up scam before deciding to go along with the next one, but why should human nature and gullibility change now?

We can at least hope for a brief hiatus between the final end of this hoax and the world-wide acceptance of the next one.



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13 responses to “As the “settled science” crumbles

  1. Vermont is especially susceptible to this hoax. David Blittersdorf, the Big Wind Guy, is Shumlin’s biggest contributor. Needs to be investigated for the quid pro quo.

  2. CFACT buddies are headed here for FUN before they picket/protest the Watermelon Party at UN.
    Check out their website and we will match any donation….
    And party invitation will be sent out…..

  3. Greenwich school students…..
    Are they being taught that the world has not warmed since before they were born?

  4. omg! not Fire Island too?!

  5. The beginning of the big chill of 2014/15 winter starts this weekend:

    Apparent sea level rise over the last 200 years in our area is explained by subsidence. The 10,000 year old process of glacier melt is causing a rebound of the Canadian end of the North American plate, which is causing a slow dip in our area at the other end of the floating see-saw; documented at about 8 inches in the last 200 years. The National Geodetic Survey office has advised that the D’Andrea Office in Riverside in sinking at about 1 milli-meter per year. This office is part of a national monitor network for crustal movement.

    This has created an illusion of sea level rise, compounded by major errors in coastal level mappings caused by bad science in the early 1900’s. FEMA has over-corrected. Just a month ago, FEMA issued a massive reduction in coastal hazard mapping in Westchester County. We should be asking for the same re-evaluation in Greenwich.

    Yes, the world exploitation of fossil fuels since the industrial age, which began in our area with massive clear-cutting of forests in the post Civil-War era, will contribute slightly to a global temperature rise. But this process has been on-going for 10 millennia, and continues. There is no cause for alarm during your lifespan.

  6. Inagua

    I have been totally wrong about Global Warming. There are huge numbers of Liberals that do not even know about the 15-year hiatus. I had dinner with a bunch of them last night. At first, they refused to believe me about the hiatus. It is simply amazing that college educated professionals who read the NY Times, the LA Times, the New Republic (as these people do) are completely ignorant of basic facts. Global Warming/Climate Change has become a religion where the priesthood does not share inconvenient truths with the congregation.

  7. Walt

    Dude –

    By 2035, which is only like seven years away, the Chinks will consume 80% more energy than the U.S. And they already have 50 – I SAID FIFTY!! New coal plants in the pipeline. Their cities already have more smog than Confucius has silly sayings. Their carbon footprint dwarfs anything the rest of us can do to offset it. So without the Gooks on board, and they never will be, worrying about global warming is a joke. If we should even worry about it at all.

    So enough of this global warming crap. Enough of what some guy calls his football team. Enough of trying to limit free speech, or our right to bear arms. DEAL WITH THE REAL PROBLEMS YOU MORONS!!

    I could give a shit if they are called the Redskins, The DC Crackers, or the Flaming Homo’s. It’s a football team name, that some don’t like. And that is a POLITICAL PRIORITY?? If people don’t like it, boycott their games. END OF STORY!!

    I care about our borders being overrun. I care about the ISIS threat. I care about the IRS being used as a weapon against the US Citizens WHO PAY FOR IT!! I care about the economy and people unable to work. DEAL WITH THAT YOU FUCKTARDS!! And I care about Jennifer Lawrence NUDIE PIC’S!!

    What do you think Dude?

    Speaking of Confucius. Confucius say “Politicians just like corrupt whores. They say what you want to hear, takie the money, then fail to deliver the goods. That’s just wong.”

    Your Pal,

  8. AJ

    What happened to all the great defenders of Global Warming that used to argue the cause in posts on this blog? Busy defending Obama’s importation of millions of illegals with a special free pass for gang members and jihadis?

    • Yos

      Perhaps the warm mongers are in shock. Polar bear numbers are increasing, the Northern ice cap is extant and the Seychelles are still above water.

      There has to be a way to make money selling “Post-AGW Depression” pills or something.

  9. Anonymous

    Without a global warming bonanza, how will Al Gore make the billionaires club? So sad!

  10. Anonymous

    Excellent post. Thank goodness I’m not alone!